Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Cremonese
23.2%
Draw
14.8%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Cremonese
vs
0.86
Padova
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).