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DHT: 10CSV

21 Dec 2022 · 13:00

Aris

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.7%
Levadeiakos
28.0%
Draw
22.3%
Aris

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Levadeiakos

vs
0.95

Aris

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).