Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Nice
21.6%
Draw
43.2%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Nice
vs
1.78
Rennes
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).