Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Watford
29.6%
Draw
23.4%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Watford
vs
0.88
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).