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05 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.4%
Annan Athletic
23.6%
Draw
36.0%
Montrose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Annan Athletic

vs
1.68

Montrose

Markets

BTTS68.4%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
2-3
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).