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13 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.7%
Sporting Khalsa
15.7%
Draw
8.7%
Hereford

Expected Goals (xG)

2.33

Sporting Khalsa

vs
0.64

Hereford

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.0%
1-0
12.2%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.5%
5-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).