Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
Lincoln
19.1%
Draw
12.9%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Lincoln
vs
0.67
Wigan
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).