Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Nott'm Forest
29.6%
Draw
40.0%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.41
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).