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26 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Altrincham
29.6%
Draw
36.8%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Altrincham

vs
1.25

Halifax

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).