Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
St Pauli
26.0%
Draw
32.3%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
St Pauli
vs
1.42
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).