⚽ FootballData
Larisa

Home

1 – 1
DHT: 00CSV

05 May 2018

Lamia

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
55.8%
Larisa
27.3%
Draw
16.9%
Lamia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Larisa

vs
0.76

Lamia

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
12.0%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).