Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.8%
Carlisle
19.3%
Draw
64.9%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Carlisle
vs
1.96
Charlton
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
0-2
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).