Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Accrington
27.5%
Draw
30.2%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Accrington
vs
1.00
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).