Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Lecce
34.0%
Draw
26.7%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Lecce
vs
0.71
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS30.6%
Over 0.580.9%
Over 1.548.7%
Over 2.522.8%
Over 3.58.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.1%
1-0
18.3%
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
6.0%
0-2
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).