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AHT: 02CSV

09 Apr 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.8%
Troyes
25.2%
Draw
32.0%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Troyes

vs
1.15

Clermont

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).