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08 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.3%
Forest Green
26.1%
Draw
21.6%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Forest Green

vs
1.01

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).