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AHT: 01CSV

17 Mar 2024 · 14:00

Milan

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.9%
Verona
18.1%
Draw
73.1%
Milan

Expected Goals (xG)

0.55

Verona

vs
2.06

Milan

Markets

BTTS36.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.6%
0-1
15.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-1
8.2%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
2-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).