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13 Mar 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.3%
Fatih Karagümrük
17.1%
Draw
75.6%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Fatih Karagümrük

vs
2.76

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
1-3
8.1%
1-1
8.0%
0-4
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
1-4
5.6%
0-0
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-5
3.6%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).