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24 Sept 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.4%
Altay
27.3%
Draw
60.3%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Altay

vs
1.84

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-2
12.5%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-0
3.0%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).