Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Derby
24.7%
Draw
22.5%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Derby
vs
1.13
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).