Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Sporting Gijón
22.7%
Draw
35.7%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.59
Almeria
Markets
BTTS65.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).