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AHT: 01CSV

01 Oct 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Brackley Town
31.4%
Draw
30.5%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Brackley Town

vs
1.02

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).