⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 01CSV

28 Nov 2023 · 18:00

Pau FC

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
33.9%
Concarneau
21.9%
Draw
44.2%
Pau FC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Concarneau

vs
1.67

Pau FC

Markets

BTTS61.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).