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AHT: 03CSV

24 Apr 2021 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.5%
Osnabruck
26.9%
Draw
51.6%
Holstein Kiel

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Osnabruck

vs
1.63

Holstein Kiel

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).