Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Arouca
21.1%
Draw
26.0%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Arouca
vs
1.31
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).