Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Plymouth
20.1%
Draw
18.5%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Plymouth
vs
0.92
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
0-0
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).