Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Lugo
30.6%
Draw
46.9%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Lugo
vs
1.17
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.555.7%
Over 2.528.9%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.1%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).