Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Peterboro
19.4%
Draw
18.8%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Peterboro
vs
0.99
Crewe
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).