Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Salernitana
32.7%
Draw
29.8%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Salernitana
vs
0.96
Empoli
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).