Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Wrexham
26.4%
Draw
25.6%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Wrexham
vs
0.85
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).