Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Wrexham
15.8%
Draw
19.3%
Newmarket Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.96
Wrexham
vs
1.64
Newmarket Town
Markets
BTTS76.2%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.594.2%
Over 2.583.7%
Over 3.567.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-2
5.8%
4-1
5.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-2
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
4-0
3.2%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).