Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Cesena
28.2%
Draw
23.6%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Cesena
vs
1.00
Bari
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).