Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.6%
Cagliari
23.1%
Draw
60.2%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Cagliari
vs
1.72
Milan
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).