Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Hamburg
31.5%
Draw
29.3%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Hamburg
vs
0.97
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).