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23 Apr 2023 · 14:00

Brest

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.4%
Ajaccio
19.7%
Draw
69.9%
Brest

Expected Goals (xG)

0.54

Ajaccio

vs
1.86

Brest

Markets

BTTS34.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.4%
0-2
15.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-1
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).