Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Caen
24.2%
Draw
50.1%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Caen
vs
1.49
Red Star
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).