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06 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.6%
Charleroi
16.0%
Draw
10.4%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.66

Charleroi

vs
0.93

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS56.9%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
0-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).