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AHT: 02CSV

07 May 2023 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Ibiza
27.5%
Draw
46.4%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Ibiza

vs
1.35

Albacete

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).