Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Walsall
24.0%
Draw
23.0%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Walsall
vs
0.96
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).