Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Lille
23.3%
Draw
53.4%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Lille
vs
1.72
Aris
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.1%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).