Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Venezia
20.5%
Draw
13.6%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Venezia
vs
0.93
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.5%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
4-1
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).