Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
West Brom
26.2%
Draw
48.5%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
West Brom
vs
1.67
Southampton
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).