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19 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Burton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.6%
Wycombe
22.1%
Draw
18.3%
Burton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Wycombe

vs
0.79

Burton

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).