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AHT: 02CSV

07 May 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.4%
Osnabruck
26.4%
Draw
58.2%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Osnabruck

vs
1.65

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).