Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Alcorcon
33.6%
Draw
30.4%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Alcorcon
vs
0.81
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS32.8%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.550.9%
Over 2.524.6%
Over 3.59.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
1-0
16.5%
0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).