Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Sudtirol
32.2%
Draw
41.6%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Sudtirol
vs
1.19
Monza
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).