Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Newport County
24.9%
Draw
51.8%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Newport County
vs
1.52
Barnet
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).