Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Stoke
29.4%
Draw
28.3%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Stoke
vs
1.06
QPR
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).