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AHT: 13CSV

20 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Leeds

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.5%
Wolves
28.6%
Draw
47.9%
Leeds

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Wolves

vs
1.57

Leeds

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).