Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Albacete
28.5%
Draw
27.2%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Albacete
vs
0.92
Logrones
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).